Forecast for the Japanese Economy in Fiscal 2014 and 2015: February 2014

Improvement in the Economy Will Continue Even after the Increase in the Consumption Tax Rate

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1. Outlook for the Japanese Economy in Fiscal 2014 and Fiscal 2015 – Improvement in the Economy Will Continue Even after the Increase in the Consumption Tax Rate

(1)Current State of the Economy: Continuing Gradual Improvement
(2)A Downturn Following the Consumption Tax Hike Will Be Avoidable, but the Risk of a Temporary Weakening Remains
(3)Outlook for Fiscal 2014 and Fiscal 2015: A Downturn Can Be Avoided with the Underlying Support of Exports

2. Forecasts of Economic Activity by Sector

(1)Corporations
(2)Households
(3)Government
(4)Trends in Overseas Economies

3. Forecasts for Prices and Financial Markets